RVN Weinstein stage analysis
As of 2026-10-18 (UTC), RVN (Binance USDⓈ-M perpetual) closed at 0.001413, 65.3% below its 210-day moving average, which is falling; under the Weinstein stage rules it is in Stage 4 · Declining, for 330 days (since 2025-11-23).
- Current stage
- Stage 4 · Declining
- Duration
- 330 days
- Since
- 2025-11-23
- Close
- 0.001413
- 210-day MA
- 0.00407603
- Distance to MA
- -65.3%
- MA slope (20-day)
- -7.56%
- Volume ratio (14-day)
- 0.58
- Relative strength (vs BTC)
- -20.2
- 30-day volume
- $234M
- Universe rank
- #196
- Data date
- 2026-10-18 UTC
Flip conditions: where tomorrow's (2026-10-19) close would change the stage
Arithmetic on this site's rules: a hypothetical close for tomorrow is appended to RVN's daily series and everything is recomputed, to see what the raw stage and the signals would be. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there and it is not a forecast.
210-day MA crossing price
If tomorrow closes above 0.004068689, the close will be above tomorrow's 210-day MA; at or below 0.004068689 it will be below it (tomorrow's MA averages the last 209 closes and tomorrow's close, so the crossing price is the sum of the last 209 closes ÷ 209). Today's close 0.001413 is below today's MA.
Tomorrow's raw stage
Tomorrow's close → Raw stage
- 0.0007065 – 0.0021195 (whole range computed) → Declining · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged
If tomorrow closes unchanged (0.001413), the raw stage is Stage 4 · Declining. within the range computed, a higher close does not change the raw stage; a lower close does not change it. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there.
The confirmed stage (the "current stage" on this page) only switches after the raw stage has been the same for 3 days in a row. Today's raw stage is Stage 4 · Declining, for 332 days in a row; the confirmed stage is Stage 4 · Declining. The list above covers 50%–150% of today's close (0.0007065 – 0.0021195).
Signal trigger prices (tomorrow's close)
- Long: tomorrow closes above 0.072387 and tomorrow's volume is at least 7,055,682,852.00 (quantity traded, not value). Also needed: the coin is still in the universe tomorrow with a 30-day average daily volume of at least $5M, and there is no open or pending signal on the same side (except one whose exit signal fired today and closes at tomorrow's close). Altcoins also need BTC's confirmed stage tomorrow to be Stage 1 or 2 (BTC today: Stage 2 · Advancing).
- Exit (positions only): tomorrow closes below 0.003660069 (below tomorrow's MA × 0.90).
- Short: tomorrow closes below 0.001413 (it must be below the MA, turn the MA's 20-day slope negative, and be below the lowest close of the previous 30 bars). Also needed: the coin is still in the universe tomorrow with a 30-day average daily volume of at least $5M, and there is no open or pending signal on the same side (except one whose exit signal fired today and closes at tomorrow's close).
- Cover (shorts only): tomorrow closes above 0.004068689 (crosses above the 210-day MA).
- Stop (shorts only): a close at or above the entry fill × 1.15.
- Open position: Short, filled on 2025-11-23 at 0.0079182.
- The open short was filled at 0.0079182 ⇒ stop at 0.00910593.
A signal appears at tomorrow's close and, under this site's ledger rules, fills at the close the day after (see the method page).
Daily chart and stages
Loading chart…
Background colour = confirmed stage of the day; orange line = 210-day MA; ▲▼ = fills and exits of this site's signals; dots = stage changes. About the last two years; scroll to zoom, drag to pan; coins whose two-year high is more than 8× the low default to a log scale (switch at top right).
Charts are drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0; © TradingView, Inc., tradingview.com).
Stage changes (last 12)
| Date | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-11-13 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-09-21 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-09-11 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-08-31 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-08-24 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-08-20 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-08-09 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-08-02 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-07-17 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-06-22 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-06-11 | Declining | → Undet. |
Signal record on this site
| Contract | Long/Short | Entry | Exit | Reason | Return | Price | Slippage | Fees | Funding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVN | Short | 2025-11-23 @ 0.0079182 | — @ — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RVN | Short | 2025-08-26 @ 0.0134659 | 2025-08-27 @ 0.0134636 | Crossed above MA | -0.1% | +0.81% | -0.80% | -0.10% | +0.03% |
| RVN | Short | 2025-07-06 @ 0.0128936 | 2025-07-16 @ 0.0149223 | Crossed above MA | -15.9% | -15.50% | -0.23% | -0.11% | -0.05% |
| RVN | Short | 2024-11-05 @ 0.0162547 | 2024-11-10 @ 0.0200198 | 15% stop | -23.1% | -22.18% | -0.98% | -0.11% | +0.16% |
| RVN | Short | 2024-07-08 @ 0.0170316 | 2024-07-18 @ 0.0198692 | 15% stop | -16.5% | -15.73% | -0.93% | -0.11% | +0.28% |
| RVN | Short | 2024-02-06 @ 0.0174599 | 2024-02-08 @ 0.0185439 | Crossed above MA | -6.3% | -5.36% | -0.85% | -0.10% | +0.06% |
| RVN | Short | 2023-04-21 @ 0.0231271 | 2023-11-07 @ 0.0179415 | Crossed above MA | +26.2% | +23.04% | -0.62% | -0.09% | +3.83% |
| RVN | Short | 2023-03-04 @ 0.0263404 | 2023-04-15 @ 0.0270578 | Crossed above MA | -1.6% | -2.16% | -0.56% | -0.10% | +1.21% |
| RVN | Short | 2022-10-11 @ 0.0324538 | 2023-01-21 @ 0.0289534 | Crossed above MA | +12.2% | +10.96% | -0.18% | -0.09% | +1.47% |
| RVN | Short | 2022-04-24 @ 0.0507937 | 2022-09-10 @ 0.0573086 | Crossed above MA | -13.0% | -12.60% | -0.23% | -0.11% | -0.06% |
| RVN | Short | 2022-03-12 @ 0.0508159 | 2022-03-20 @ 0.05523 | 15% stop | -8.6% | -7.82% | -0.87% | -0.10% | +0.20% |
| RVN | Short | 2021-12-05 @ 0.0891561 | 2021-12-27 @ 0.111467 | Crossed above MA | -24.6% | -24.65% | -0.37% | -0.11% | +0.51% |
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