LUMIA Weinstein stage analysis

Flip conditions: where tomorrow's (2026-10-15) close would change the stage

Arithmetic on this site's rules: a hypothetical close for tomorrow is appended to LUMIA's daily series and everything is recomputed, to see what the raw stage and the signals would be. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there and it is not a forecast.

210-day MA crossing price

If tomorrow closes above 0.09487507, the close will be above tomorrow's 210-day MA; at or below 0.09487507 it will be below it (tomorrow's MA averages the last 209 closes and tomorrow's close, so the crossing price is the sum of the last 209 closes ÷ 209). Today's close 0.10049 is above today's MA.

Tomorrow's raw stage

Tomorrow's close → Raw stage

• below 0.09487507 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed after 3 days at the earliest (2026-10-17 close)
• above 0.09487507 → Advancing · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged

If tomorrow closes unchanged (0.10049), the raw stage is Stage 2 · Advancing. within the range computed, a higher close does not change the raw stage; if it closes below 0.09487507, the raw stage becomes an unclear stage. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there.

The confirmed stage (the "current stage" on this page) only switches after the raw stage has been the same for 3 days in a row. Today's raw stage is Stage 2 · Advancing, for 5 days in a row; the confirmed stage is Stage 2 · Advancing. The list above covers 50%–150% of today's close (0.050245 – 0.150735).

Signal trigger prices (tomorrow's close)

• Long: not possible tomorrow — the coin is already above its 210-day MA today, and an entry needs the close to cross above it (it would first have to fall back below the MA).
• Exit (positions only): tomorrow closes at or below 0.09487507 (crosses below the 210-day MA).
• Short: not possible tomorrow — turning the MA slope negative would need a close below 0.
• Cover: the coin is already above its MA today, so the cross-above condition does not apply tomorrow; an open short is governed by its stop.
• Stop (shorts only): a close at or above the entry fill × 1.15.
• Open position: Long, filled on 2026-10-11 at 0.1255981.

A signal appears at tomorrow's close and, under this site's ledger rules, fills at the close the day after (see the method page).

Value score (value_v1)

Pending (no review yet; not ranked)

Capture

0

Business

—

Growth

0

Valuation

3

Davis

0

Total

—

Holder yield

0.0%

Value picks → · Value picks are scores and a ranking produced under this site's published rules — this site's rating, not investment advice. Judgement-layer scores are given by an AI under the published rubric with the cited evidence and spot-checked by an independent AI re-review; they rely on public data and judgement and can be wrong. Performance after listing is published as it happens, declines included.

Daily chart and stages

Background colour = confirmed stage of the day; orange line = 210-day MA; ▲▼ = fills and exits of this site's signals; dots = stage changes. About the last two years; scroll to zoom, drag to pan; coins whose two-year high is more than 8× the low default to a log scale (switch at top right).

Charts are drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0; © TradingView, Inc., tradingview.com).