ICNT Weinstein stage analysis

Flip conditions: where tomorrow's (2026-10-17) close would change the stage

Arithmetic on this site's rules: a hypothetical close for tomorrow is appended to ICNT's daily series and everything is recomputed, to see what the raw stage and the signals would be. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there and it is not a forecast.

210-day MA crossing price

If tomorrow closes above 0.2090043, the close will be above tomorrow's 210-day MA; at or below 0.2090043 it will be below it (tomorrow's MA averages the last 209 closes and tomorrow's close, so the crossing price is the sum of the last 209 closes ÷ 209). Today's close 0.1793 is below today's MA.

Tomorrow's raw stage

Tomorrow's close → Raw stage

• below 0.2090043 → Declining · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged
• above 0.2090043 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed after 3 days at the earliest (2026-10-19 close)

If tomorrow closes unchanged (0.1793), the raw stage is Stage 4 · Declining. Under this site's rules, if tomorrow closes above 0.2090043, the raw stage becomes an unclear stage; a lower close does not change it. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there.

The confirmed stage (the "current stage" on this page) only switches after the raw stage has been the same for 3 days in a row. Today's raw stage is Stage 4 · Declining, for 126 days in a row; the confirmed stage is Stage 4 · Declining. The list above covers 50%–150% of today's close (0.08965 – 0.26895).

Signal trigger prices (tomorrow's close)

• Long: tomorrow closes above 5.0525 and tomorrow's volume is at least 147,542,046.40 (quantity traded, not value). Also needed: the coin is still in the universe tomorrow with a 30-day average daily volume of at least $5M, and there is no open or pending signal on the same side (except one whose exit signal fired today and closes at tomorrow's close). Altcoins also need BTC's confirmed stage tomorrow to be Stage 1 or 2 (BTC today: Stage 2 · Advancing).
• Exit (positions only): tomorrow closes below 0.1880139 (below tomorrow's MA × 0.90).
• Short: tomorrow closes below 0.0896 (it must be below the MA, turn the MA's 20-day slope negative, and be below the lowest close of the previous 30 bars). Also needed: the coin is still in the universe tomorrow with a 30-day average daily volume of at least $5M, and there is no open or pending signal on the same side (except one whose exit signal fired today and closes at tomorrow's close).
• Cover (shorts only): tomorrow closes above 0.2090043 (crosses above the 210-day MA).
• Stop (shorts only): a close at or above the entry fill × 1.15.

A signal appears at tomorrow's close and, under this site's ledger rules, fills at the close the day after (see the method page).

Daily chart and stages

Background colour = confirmed stage of the day; orange line = 210-day MA; ▲▼ = fills and exits of this site's signals; dots = stage changes. About the last two years; scroll to zoom, drag to pan; coins whose two-year high is more than 8× the low default to a log scale (switch at top right).

Charts are drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0; © TradingView, Inc., tradingview.com).