API3 Weinstein stage analysis
As of 2026-10-06 (UTC), API3 (Binance USDⓈ-M perpetual) closed at 0.3398, 27.4% above its 210-day moving average, which is falling; under the Weinstein stage rules it is in an undetermined stage, for 11 days (since 2026-09-26).
- Current stage
- Undetermined
- Duration
- 11 days
- Since
- 2026-09-26
- Close
- 0.3398
- 210-day MA
- 0.266704
- Distance to MA
- +27.4%
- MA slope (20-day)
- -0.37%
- Volume ratio (14-day)
- 8.81
- Relative strength (vs BTC)
- 4.5
- 30-day volume
- $244M
- Universe rank
- #189
- Data date
- 2026-10-06 UTC
Flip conditions: where tomorrow's (2026-10-07) close would change the stage
Arithmetic on this site's rules: a hypothetical close for tomorrow is appended to API3's daily series and everything is recomputed, to see what the raw stage and the signals would be. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there and it is not a forecast.
210-day MA crossing price
If tomorrow closes above 0.2665804, the close will be above tomorrow's 210-day MA; at or below 0.2665804 it will be below it (tomorrow's MA averages the last 209 closes and tomorrow's close, so the crossing price is the sum of the last 209 closes ÷ 209). Today's close 0.3398 is above today's MA.
Tomorrow's raw stage
Tomorrow's close → Raw stage
- below 0.2130604 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged
- 0.2130604 – 0.3202029 → Basing · If it then holds every day: confirmed after 3 days at the earliest (2026-10-09 close)
- above 0.3202029 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged
If tomorrow closes unchanged (0.3398), the raw stage is an undetermined stage. within the range computed, a higher close does not change the raw stage; if it closes below 0.3202029, the raw stage becomes Stage 1 · Basing. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there.
The confirmed stage (the "current stage" on this page) only switches after the raw stage has been the same for 3 days in a row. Today's raw stage is an undetermined stage, for 1 day in a row; the confirmed stage is an undetermined stage. The list above covers 50%–150% of today's close (0.1699 – 0.5097).
Signal trigger prices (tomorrow's close)
- Long: not possible tomorrow — the coin is already above its 210-day MA today, and an entry needs the close to cross above it (it would first have to fall back below the MA).
- Exit (positions only): tomorrow closes at or below 0.2665804 (crosses below the 210-day MA).
- Short: tomorrow closes below 0.2199 (it must be below the MA, turn the MA's 20-day slope negative, and be below the lowest close of the previous 30 bars). Also needed: the coin is still in the universe tomorrow with a 30-day average daily volume of at least $5M, and there is no open or pending signal on the same side (except one whose exit signal fired today and closes at tomorrow's close).
- Cover: the coin is already above its MA today, so the cross-above condition does not apply tomorrow; an open short is governed by its stop.
- Stop (shorts only): a close at or above the entry fill × 1.15.
A signal appears at tomorrow's close and, under this site's ledger rules, fills at the close the day after (see the method page).
Daily chart and stages
Loading chart…
Background colour = confirmed stage of the day; orange line = 210-day MA; ▲▼ = fills and exits of this site's signals; dots = stage changes. About the last two years; scroll to zoom, drag to pan; coins whose two-year high is more than 8× the low default to a log scale (switch at top right).
Charts are drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0; © TradingView, Inc., tradingview.com).
Stage changes (last 12)
| Date | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-10-24 | Top | → Declining |
| 2025-10-21 | Undet. | → Top |
| 2025-10-06 | Top | → Undet. |
| 2025-09-29 | Undet. | → Top |
| 2025-09-24 | Advancing | → Undet. |
| 2025-09-08 | Undet. | → Advancing |
| 2025-08-20 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2025-01-09 | Undet. | → Declining |
| 2025-01-05 | Declining | → Undet. |
| 2024-12-20 | Basing | → Declining |
| 2024-12-15 | Undet. | → Basing |
Signal record on this site
| Contract | Long/Short | Entry | Exit | Reason | Return | Price | Slippage | Fees | Funding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| API3 | Short | 2025-11-05 @ 0.596803 | 2026-09-23 @ 0.263349 | Crossed above MA | +30.0% | +56.12% | -0.24% | -0.07% | -25.85% |
| API3 | Long | 2025-10-08 @ 0.896643 | 2025-10-10 @ 0.643034 | Crossed below MA | -26.8% | -28.07% | -0.22% | -0.07% | +1.54% |
| API3 | Short | 2025-01-09 @ 1.47 | 2025-08-19 @ 1.37 | Crossed above MA | -17.8% | +7.50% | -0.51% | -0.10% | -24.65% |
| API3 | Short | 2024-12-20 @ 1.67 | 2025-01-04 @ 1.80 | Crossed above MA | -8.1% | -7.45% | -0.59% | -0.10% | +0.06% |
| API3 | Short | 2024-09-07 @ 1.27 | 2024-09-14 @ 1.52 | 15% stop | -20.2% | -19.02% | -0.96% | -0.11% | -0.12% |
| API3 | Short | 2024-08-08 @ 1.48 | 2024-08-24 @ 1.75 | 15% stop | -18.3% | -17.43% | -0.94% | -0.11% | +0.20% |
| API3 | Long | 2024-06-17 @ 2.43 | 2024-06-18 @ 2.23 | Crossed below MA | -8.6% | -8.18% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.01% |
| API3 | Long | 2024-05-09 @ 2.49 | 2024-05-11 @ 2.35 | Crossed below MA | -5.8% | -5.37% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.03% |
| API3 | Long | 2024-05-04 @ 2.39 | 2024-05-07 @ 2.27 | Crossed below MA | -5.4% | -4.45% | -0.76% | -0.09% | -0.08% |
| API3 | Long | 2024-04-17 @ 2.26 | 2024-04-18 @ 2.31 | Crossed below MA | +2.1% | +2.52% | -0.31% | -0.10% | -0.03% |
| API3 | Short | 2023-10-13 @ 1.02 | 2023-10-25 @ 1.24 | Crossed above MA | -21.2% | -20.45% | -0.97% | -0.11% | +0.36% |
| API3 | Short | 2023-05-02 @ 1.43 | 2023-08-07 @ 1.16 | Crossed above MA | +12.9% | +19.51% | -0.44% | -0.09% | -6.09% |
| API3 | Short | 2023-04-22 @ 1.48 | 2023-04-27 @ 1.60 | Crossed above MA | -8.3% | -7.46% | -0.86% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| API3 | Short | 2023-03-05 @ 1.44 | 2023-03-19 @ 1.88 | Crossed above MA | -30.5% | -29.62% | -0.72% | -0.12% | -0.07% |
| API3 | Short | 2023-03-01 @ 1.60 | 2023-03-02 @ 1.59 | Crossed above MA | +0.9% | +1.80% | -0.79% | -0.10% | -0.06% |
| API3 | Short | 2022-11-10 @ 1.60 | 2023-01-28 @ 1.59 | Crossed above MA | +2.1% | +1.86% | -0.79% | -0.10% | +1.08% |
← Back to the coin list · Stage rules: Method & backtests