API3 Weinstein stage analysis

Flip conditions: where tomorrow's (2026-10-07) close would change the stage

Arithmetic on this site's rules: a hypothetical close for tomorrow is appended to API3's daily series and everything is recomputed, to see what the raw stage and the signals would be. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there and it is not a forecast.

210-day MA crossing price

If tomorrow closes above 0.267034, the close will be above tomorrow's 210-day MA; at or below 0.267034 it will be below it (tomorrow's MA averages the last 209 closes and tomorrow's close, so the crossing price is the sum of the last 209 closes ÷ 209). Today's close 0.3436 is above today's MA.

Tomorrow's raw stage

Tomorrow's close → Raw stage

• below 0.2134229 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged
• 0.2134229 – 0.3207477 → Basing · If it then holds every day: confirmed after 3 days at the earliest (2026-10-09 close)
• above 0.3207477 → Undet. · If it then holds every day: confirmed stage unchanged

If tomorrow closes unchanged (0.3436), the raw stage is an undetermined stage. within the range computed, a higher close does not change the raw stage; if it closes below 0.3207477, the raw stage becomes Stage 1 · Basing. This is arithmetic on the rules; it does not mean the price will get there.

The confirmed stage (the "current stage" on this page) only switches after the raw stage has been the same for 3 days in a row. Today's raw stage is an undetermined stage, for 1 day in a row; the confirmed stage is an undetermined stage. The list above covers 50%–150% of today's close (0.1718 – 0.5154).

Signal trigger prices (tomorrow's close)

• Buy: not possible tomorrow — the coin is already above its 210-day MA today, and an entry needs the close to cross above it (it would first have to fall back below the MA).
• Exit (positions only): tomorrow closes at or below 0.267034 (crosses below the 210-day MA).

A signal appears at tomorrow's close and, under this site's ledger rules, fills at the close the day after (see the method page).

Daily chart and stages

Background colour = confirmed stage of the day; orange line = 210-day MA; ▲▼ = fills and exits of this site's signals; dots = stage changes. About the last two years; scroll to zoom, drag to pan; coins whose two-year high is more than 8× the low default to a log scale (switch at top right).

Charts are drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0; © TradingView, Inc., tradingview.com).