StageScopeStage Compass
Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z · Logic version v1w210
Weinstein stage analysis · crypto · daily

See which stage the crypto market is in

The top 200 Binance spot coins by volume, classified every day with the four-stage method from Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets. Long/short signals, the full track record (losses included) and daily labels are public and downloadable.

AdvancingBTC stage nowIn stage for 7 days
36%of the universe in Stage 2N = 200
20%of the universe in Stage 4N = 200
2/1Today's signals long / shortResearch verdict pending

BTC current stage

Stage 2 · Advancing

In stage for 7 days (~1.0 weeks), since 2026-09-15

Close 86,620.00 · 210-day MA 70,488.64 (+22.9%) · MA slope rising

55,69368,95785,380105,715130,8912024-102025-012025-042025-072025-102026-012026-042026-07

BTC, last two years: close (log scale) and 210-day MA; background = stage of the day

Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z

Market breadth: share of the universe in each stage

Stage 2 · Advancing
35.5%
Stage 1 · Basing
9.0%
Stage 3 · Top area
0.0%
Stage 4 · Declining
20.0%
Undetermined
35.5%

Above the 210-day MA：80.3%（139/173）· Second measure; denominator = coins with a 210-day MA

Universe N=200 (top 200 by 30-day volume)

Stage distribution since 2020 →

Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z

Today's signals Research track: not yet decided

Long (2)

FET #41
Crossed above 210-day MA · 20-day MA slope > 0 · volume ≥ 1.2 × 14-day average · altcoins need BTC in Stage 1/2
Signal close 0.205 · Stop reference 0.168307 · Volume × 2.28
Exit on a close below MA × 0.90 or a cross below the MA
id 20260921-FET-L
BIO #188
Crossed above 210-day MA · 20-day MA slope > 0 · volume ≥ 1.2 × 14-day average · altcoins need BTC in Stage 1/2
Signal close 0.0291 · Stop reference 0.0253175 · Volume × 1.44
Exit on a close below MA × 0.90 or a cross below the MA
id 20260921-BIO-L

Short (1)

EURI #82
Below 210-day MA · slope < 0 · close below the prior 30-day lowest close
Signal close 1.15 · Stop reference 1.32 · Volume × 0.85
Exit on a close ≥ 15% above the short entry or a cross above the MA
id 20260921-EURI-S

All signals and track record → · Not investment advice · research verdict pending · see the method page

Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z

Stage changes today

ATOM Declining→Undet. · CELR Declining→Undet. · G Undet.→Advancing · JTO Undet.→Advancing · ONT Undet.→Advancing · PROVE Declining→Undet. · STEEM Undet.→Basing · SUI Declining→Undet. · ZAMA Undet.→Advancing · ZEN Undet.→Advancing · ZIL Declining→Undet.
Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z

Track record

Out-of-sample (live since 2026-09-23)

Long

No closed signals yet（Open 0）

Short

No closed signals yet（Open 0）

Backfilled (pre-launch, recomputed with the same rules, not published at the time)

Long

624Closed
10.4%Win rate
+18.2%Mean
-6.1%Median
-60.3%Worst
+5798.6%Best
19 daysAvg. holding
12Open

Short

2428Closed
26.5%Win rate
-0.6%Mean
-13.0%Median
-159.5%Worst
+98.4%Best
77 daysAvg. holding
81Open
Data as of 2026-09-21 UTC · Generated 2026-09-22T12:50:41Z